Better air, not better alloy

I like special issues in journals. They’re like a packet of M&M’s that’s all chocolate-coloured. Whenever I see one of these special issues on a topic that I’m particularly interested in, I usually download every paper, but I rarely read them all. So just like for M&M’s, where getting excited over a colour is pretty pointless since they all taste the same, getting excited over a special issue is pretty pointless when I don’t have time to read all the papers in it.

One special issue I stumbled across recently is the Macroecology 30th Anniversary in Global Ecology & Biogeography published in 2018. As usual, I read the introductory paper, got excited about it, and downloaded the whole issue into a folder, semi-consciously aware and resigned that I wasn’t going to be able to read more than that.

The next day I reached way too early at a carpark to meet someone for fieldwork. Since I had my laptop with me, I opened up the folder with the special issue papers, and began reading.

The special issue was great. I had spent much of my young scientific career examining patterns in species diversity and composition from field data. I had a growing doubt about the theoretical basis behind much of these patterns I had been testing. Recently, however, I’ve been dabbling into more mechanistic approaches that “build up” to community ecology, e.g., from demographic processes and pairwise species interactions. McGill’s paper was especially timely for me to read to place my thoughts about bottom-up and top-down approaches to understanding communities in the context of development in the field.

But the point (and title) of this post is not really about macroecology per se. It’s about this quote in the paper by Fahrig from metallurgist Ursula Franklin. A mining company was asking her to develop a more corrosion-resistant copper alloy, to which she said,

You don’t need better alloys; what you need is better air.

The quote struck me. Not for the broader message that Fahrig cited it for, which was that we needed to try to see problems from different angles. The article should also be read for the “long and tangled tale” of habitat fragmentation research.

But the actual context of that exchange reflects the same kind of thinking of some of the people I’ve worked with. Their first reaction whenever we tell them about potential impacts of human activities or development on the environment or biodiversity is: Can you give us some solutions that allow us to have our cake and eat it?

And if we do propose solutions but they involve some common-sense actions (other than, e.g., forgoing development), such as putting up signs or educating the public, we tend to be ignored. More than once I’ve been asked if there are any “higher tech” solutions.

To which, seriously, you don’t need a better alloy. You need better air.

Science denialism

I’ve not written anything on this blog for ages. Not because I don’t have anything to say, but I’ve been so swept up since returning to Singapore in October 2017 that writing a blog post instead of writing anything else, e.g., manuscript, emails, felt like an extravagant use of limited energy. But I thought this is something worth just noting about for my own future reference.

Science denialism is an issue that I’ve become more and more aware of in recent years. Part of it has to do with seeing the post-truth world go by as a scientist and now an educator on environmental topics.

Understanding how people deal cognitively with environmental information that conflicts with their prior beliefs is part of the interdisciplinary fields of conservation psychology and environmental psychology. I just read a commentary on a paper that attempts to experimentally test, i.e., with randomised treatment-control groups, the effects of misinformation and ways of debunking the misinformation on people’s beliefs towards two common areas of science denialism: climate change and vaccination. To summarise,

  1. The “good” news: debunking works. They didn’t find any evidence of the so-called backfire effect, where people dig their heels in deeper into factually wrong beliefs when presented with the corrective information.
  2. The bad news is that after-the-fact debunking does not completely neutralise the effects of being exposed to misinformation.

This doesn’t mean that the backfire effect doesn’t exist, just that it may be less prevalent generally and more context-specific (see an accessible summary here). The backfire effect was one particular thing that worried me and made me wonder about the best practices in trying to combat misinformation.

I think at the end of the day, when advocating for certain viewpoints, it’s still strategic to categorise the potential audience into (1) people that are already aligned with your position, (2) people who have very strongly held beliefs antithetical to your position, and (3) the uncommitted middle ground. Preaching to the converted makes us feel good, but doesn’t really contribute much to getting more buy-in. The people in group (3) are the ones to prioritise efforts for.

For those in group (2), I would personally guess that a certain degree of the backfire effect may still apply. I read somewhere (and I need to find out where one day): people are more likely to transform deep-seated beliefs if they arrive (or think that they arrived) at new insights by themselves, and not from inputs by others. So engagement with this group has to take a different strategy.

All this applies not just to science denialism but dealing with misinformation and disinformation in general. The paper suggests that in light of the second finding, “innoculating” the broader public against disinformation and the tactics of their purveyors will be necessary.

Whatever we still have

I was recently standing on a ridge in Borneo in a patch of forest that extended only 200 m in any direction, but I could not be sure I was not in a vast forest. If we relax our minds, forgetting temporarily that a patch is small, we can experience again the sense of wonder and desire to understand what we have at hand. These patches are the future of tropical rain forest, so let us treasure them, rather than seeing them as the dregs.

Cam Webb
Conservation Biology 19: 275

Energy-intensive local diversity

… humans tend to sacrifice ecological and geographic heterogeneity for an artificially maintained, energy-intensive, local species diversity. Take, for example, the large numbers of plant taxa maintained in the… cities of the world. Most of these species are horticultural varieties that do well in landscaped gardens and parks. One sees a great variety of such plants… But the roses, citrus, camellias, bougainvilleas, daffodils, eucalyptus, and begonias are everywhere similar.

This combination of local variety and geographic homogeneity produces several pleasant benefits for humans. Not only are the exotic species more spectacular, but the world traveler can always feel botanically at home… But the aesthetic benefits are costly. The price is low geographic diversity and ecological complexity.

-Soulé, M. (1985)
BioScience 35: 727

The Future of Conservation

An electronic survey came in the email, and as I went through the questions, I found them very thought-provoking.

The infamous New vs. Traditional Conservation debate has been raging on for some time now, and as the survey designers write:

Recent debates about the future of conservation have been dominated by a few high-profile individuals, whose views seem to fit fairly neatly into polarised positions. In this survey, we are exploring the range of views that exist within the conservation movement globally, and how this varies by key demographic characteristics such as age, gender, geography and educational background.

Which really hooked me into answering it.

It’s indeed different to be reading the views of the authors of those back-and-forth pieces while trying to be as objective as possible, and actually having to answer questions that force you to think about where you stand.

The end of the survey even profiles a profile and neat data visualisations to show you where you stand (something that I’ve always wanted to know!).

futureofconservation_results

futureofconservation_interpretation

How to interpret your results
Your position is weakly negative along the people & nature axis and weakly positive along the conservation & capitalism axis.

Your position on the two axes above reflects your survey answers. A move from left to right along the horizontal axis (people/nature) implies a shift from seeing conservation as a means of improving human welfare to conservation for nature’s own sake.

The vertical axis (conservation & capitalism) indicates a spectrum of willingness to embrace markets and capitalism as conservation tools: the higher up the graph your score is, the more pro-markets it is. This places you in the top left quadrant of the graph – a position suggesting your views on these particular dimensions of the debate are most closely related to those of ‘new conservationists’ as set out in the literature.

Your thinking most closely aligns with: New Conservation
Central to the ‘new conservation’ position is a shift towards framing conservation as being about protecting nature in order to improve human wellbeing (especially that of the poor), rather than for biodiversity’s own sake. ‘New conservationists’ believe that win-win situations in which people benefit from conservation can often be achieved by promoting economic growth and partnering with corporations.

Although new conservation advocates have been criticised for doing away with nature’s intrinsic value, key authors within the movement have responded by clarifying that their motive is not so much an ethical as a strategic or pragmatic one. In other words, they claim that conservation needs to emphasise nature’s instrumental value to people because this better promotes support for conservation compared to arguments based solely on species’ rights to exist.

A new journal-ranking metric

A new journal-metrics kid is on the block: CiteScore.

It looks easy to use, is free for anyone to access, and has some tweaks that make it different from the Impact Factor (IF) metric: (1) it uses three years to calculate, not two; (2) it includes all types of articles published in the denominator, which means that magazine portions of journals like Science and Nature get counted as potentially citable articles. It seems fair if the citations get accrued to the numerator, the article should be counted in the denominator too. Of course, these articles are not really meant to be cited in the first place, which therefore disadvantages journals with this type of content.

But the main thing is that it is easy to use to compare between journals, and covers more titles. The score seems more or less on the same scale as the IF, so it doesn’t cause any cognitive dissonance for most journals.

For example, I could search a few journal titles, let’s say the journals that I often consider for publishing the type of plant community ecology research I usually do. You can add them quickly to form a table.

citescore_plantecology

Each journal is also classified under a subject category. So you could search for that subject category–sub-categories are also available, it seems–and you can browse through all the titles in that category.

The categorisation seems finer and more intuitive than Thomson-Reuter’s IF, which is clunky.

Also surprising is how high some journals now rank, e.g., Forest Ecology & Management above, and Landscape & Urban Planning below compared against other  conservation journals. Both titles are published by Elsevier which owns CiteScore. But then so is Biological Conservation, which is ranked lower (but still higher than Conservation Biology published by Wiley).

citescore_natureconservation

It would be nice, though, if there is some way to display information on all the categories a journal is listed in, because some journals are cross-listed across categories.

“Plants have feelings too, you know…”

When Nature and Science both choose to review the same book, furthermore in the same week, there’s got to be something interesting about it.

According to the Science review, the book The Hidden Life of Trees by Peter Wohlleben “became a surprise best seller in Germany and is now being released in English.” Book reviewer Gabriel Popkin tries to be gentle:

“…his anthropomorphizing may irritate those seeking to understand trees on their own terms.”

And irritated was exactly what Richard Fortey at Nature felt:

“…I have problems with Wohlleben’s narrative approach. He describes trees as if they possessed consciousness. During times of drought they make “cries of thirst” or “might be screaming out a dire warning to their colleagues”. They experience “rising panic”. A seedling’s growth is portrayed as fratricide as it sees off its siblings… After a while, the urge to attribute motivation to the behaviour of trees becomes irksome.”

Popkin’s review also mentions an older (and very long) article in The New Yorker about a predecessor book from the 70’s, The Secret Life of Plants, which was chockful of quack experiments that

…has been discredited. But the book had made its mark on the culture. Americans began talking to their plants and playing Mozart for them, and no doubt many still do. This might seem harmless enough… But in the view of many plant scientists “The Secret Life of Plants” has done lasting damage to their field.

But there may be a positive side to anthropomorphizing plants yet. In an essay (published in Conservation Biology and covered by Mongabay.com), Balding and Williams suggests that it may help to counter the tendency of people to ignore plants and build more awareness and support for plant conservation.

 

Journal article titles on Pokemon ecology and evolution

Pokemon Go is out in Singapore and is all the craze now. There can be two common reactions by biodiversity science workers to this. One is to ask: What’s that? After all, we’re too busy doing real work… The other is to roll our eyes, and wonder why so few people appreciate the real plants and animals around us.

Some call this passive-aggression. To be honest, I did go on a rant to the wife about how I would absolutely give a student zero if I caught him/her playing Pokemon Go on a field trip.

But the world of Pokemon should be really intriguing to us who search for patterns in the (real) natural world. It led me to think: what research hypotheses would I test using Pokemon Go? Which in turn leads me to fantasize: what would the titles of the papers look like?

E.g.,

1. Excessive use of lures homogenizes Pokemon beta diversity

2. Fourth-corner analysis reveals habitat preferences of Pokemon functional groups

3. A test of temporal niche-partitioning in nocturnal- vs. diurnal-spawning Pokemon

4. Invasive species, or urban commensals? Population control of Rattatas and Pidgeys does not increase Pokemon diversity nor abundance

(On evolution:)

5. A phylogenomic approach to estimating speciation rates in the Eevee clade

(Typical review bullshit:)

6. The role of Pokestops in sustainable harvesting: prospects and challenges

7. Ontogenetic shifts in life history strategies for Pokemon displaying multi-stage metamorphosis

(‘Cos you gotta have one for the taxonomists:)

8. Lectotypification of Nidoran

9. Dynamic occupancy modelling of the amphidromous Magicarp

There are only nine because I could only think of nine. After all, I don’t play the game, so I don’t know enough about their natural history. For those who do, why not grab your nearest/favourite journal article, and think about how you might change it to one on Pokemon! It might help others understand the kind of work we actually do.

Singapore’s MFA on the environment

I was browsing the Ministry for Foreign Affairs website because my flight home from Edinburgh is on Turkish Airlines and transits through Istanbul. Given the coup attempt just less than 48 hours ago, I was wondering if I should (spend an obscene amount of money to) change my flight.

I chanced across a page “Sustainable Development and Climate Change” and professional curiosity caused a momentary digression.

The opening line for the page was:

As a land-scarce and highly-urbanised city-state, Singapore is aware that economic development should not come at the expense of harming the environment or reducing the quality of one’s living conditions.

Gotta hold ’em to it.

Bridging the engagement gap

A relatively old paper, but makes for good and easy reading: Gibbons et al. (2008; Ecological Management & Restoration 9: 182). A figure lists the different motivations of researchers and policy-makers when it comes to collaborating on projects, lightly adapted below.

Researchers are motivated when the projects:

  1. generate information that they can publish
  2. generate resources for longer-term research, e.g., postgrad scholarships or newer funding
  3. have spin-offs for their teaching or training of graduate students
  4. raise their profile in the media
  5. have demonstrable impacts on public policy, e.g., they are formally acknowledged in a policy document
  6. seek objective knowledge rather than support for an existing position

On the other side, policy-makers are motivate by projects that:

  1. are relevant for a contemporary issue
  2. are acceptable to the current government
  3. identify practical solutions
  4. can be used to identify policy options
  5. is demonstrated to work
  6. does not attract controversy
  7. are effectively and succinctly communicable

It ties in with my own experience working on several government-funded projects.

If government agencies want to motivate researchers, they must allow (or even encourage) them to publish and present the work. This also means that the vetting process for publishing and publicising the work, while understandably necessary, cannot be overly onerous. Also, I have found it disappointing when agencies appear to have used our outputs or recommendations without giving credit or acknowledgement. Finally, yes, we are rather wary when it seems like the agency already has a desired outcome in mind, which usually portends conflict as results may just as easily turn out opposite from what is expected.

At the same time, it is clear that the research must address a particular applied problem of interest to policy-makers and/or management. We also often heard the desire for outcomes to be “immediately operational”. Complex solutions, or those that are not popular or politically palatable, usually end up being ignored. And from reading the article, I realize one reason why agencies often reacted negatively to our recommendations: they like to be presented with options going forward, and not be just told what to do, or worse, that they were wrong in something.

I guess we have to work harder, from both ends. Some more excerpts:

Hamel and Prahalad (1989) noted that many scientists appear to operate under a ‘strategy of hope’, that is, simply hoping that their work will engage management professionals but doing nothing to further that goal… Roux et al. (2006) noted that researchers can be guilty of providing a ‘solution’ with the expectation that it will be embraced and then ‘move on to another project bemoaning the fact that their work was not put into practice.’

How true.

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